Conti764 wrote:[
LH won't expand its presence at BRU for much else accept flights between BRU and Germany. SN will still be the sole *A-carrier which uses BRU as a hub. The European network of SN will be streamlined though, to fit in that of Star Alliance and to complement the current routes of other alliance partners as LX, TAP or OS. This would have also been done if SN would have joined *A without being bought by LH.
BRU will probably become the alliances gateway to Africa and therefor SN will have to expand its long haul fleet, with the help of LH. I don't think LH is going to station one or more widebodies at BRU to operate long haul flights. They will still operate their current destinations and SN will do so as well. Passengers could then travel trough either FRA, MUC of BRU, depending on the destination (or origin).
For other long haul flights, SN will probably offer these in code share with foreign *A-partners (ANA to Japan, SQ to SIN, TG to BKK, CO, UA and US to N-A, ... ) operated by those companies. SN might offer some own flights on their material to other airports in those countries which do not have a hub status or are no focus city to Star Alliance.
Those passengers could either fly to FRA or MUC on either their country's airline or LH or fly to BRU on their country's airline to transfer to Africa. Expect some other companies to reduce service to BRU as well, and some others to disappear.
My guess:
Europe:
Germany, PL, CH, P, Scandinavia,... streamlining of all flights....more regular flights to those countries, connecting better to long-hauls where LH,TP,LX.. are strong;
More flights to German cities like Stuttgart, Hannover;
Drop all flights to un-important destinations like Faro, Cagliari, Catania...
Probably BRU will become gateway to Africa (except North, and South..). More A330's, more destinations.
Maybe, with LH's help, SN will get more frequencies to Moscow, St. Pete (SN is not able to ger clearance for a second flight to DME .....)
Asian airlines: maybe a few flights a week to BKK with TG; nothing more as LH has already taken the Belgian market for business people to Asia (40 ex-BRU passengers to PEK via FRA yesterday, mostly business people with Gold or Silver LH cards; this people will stick with LH).
North America: one or two more destinations with UA maybe, replacing AA on ORD-route for instance.
The gain for BRU will come from increased HUB-function for Africa, and who knows more intra-European connections.
LH and *A is the best thing that could happen to BRU and SN.
Now lets hope that some old crocodiles at SN and Zombies at BRU will disappear soon,
and give BRU what it desserves: a European Top-10 airport.