Boeing - $2.1 Trillion Market?

[BeerGuzzler]

Over the next 20 years, airlines will take delivery of approximately:

-- 3,900 regional jets
-- 15,300 single-aisle airplanes
-- 5,600 mid-size twin-aisle airplanes
-- 900 airplanes 747-size or larger (approx. 450 airplanes in the 400-500
seats range and approx. 450 airplanes of 500 seats and above)

These deliveries will result in a world fleet of more than 35,000 airplanes.

http://biz.yahoo.com/prnews/050608/sfw013.html?.v=13

With all of the airlines (at least in the US) deferring or cancelling orders for new aircraft, these numbers seem alittle high.

I would think that the number of RJ's would be much higher than 3,900 & the number of mid-size to 747 range would be much lower. Seems smaller more fuel efficient is the new direction of aviation (other than the Airbus-Boeing War).

Is the Asian market that big? It certainally isn't the US market.

[vivek0072]

-- 3,900 regional jets ----> the 717 is being killed....
-- 15,300 single-aisle airplanes ---> 737 but competition from A319+ 320
-- 5,600 mid-size twin-aisle airplanes ---> 787..still future
-- 900 airplanes 747-size or larger (approx. 450 airplanes in the 400-500
seats range and approx. 450 airplanes of 500 seats and above) ----> 744 orders have dried up.

Does this not leave Boeing with a small market share ?