How do you see the future of the Boeing 747-800 ?

edwin · Post by **edwin** » 08 Apr 2006, 20:04

Future of 747? success or end of an era?

Zorba · Post by **Zorba** » 08 Apr 2006, 20:20

I know it's vacation and you can be bored sometimes, but don't spam the forum please

edwin · Post by **edwin** » 08 Apr 2006, 20:23

dont worry i wont i just got excited, just found about this website today.. but do you think boeing is just wasting their time on this 747 project

Ovostar · Post by **Ovostar** » 08 Apr 2006, 22:13

so, WELCOME TO LUCHTZAK!!!
I don't think they are wasting their time!
the 747-8 Cargo will probably be a success, a lot of companies are interested,

i am more worried about the 747-8i Passenger version, I hope it'll work: Some companies are interested, but nothin serious for the moment...

edwin · Post by **edwin** » 08 Apr 2006, 22:17

yes i agree, but i do not believe this version will last that long (PAX). Though, it has enhancements such as more fuel efficient and more eco friendly, whereas the A380 doesn't benefit much from those factors

TallDutch · Post by **TallDutch** » 11 Apr 2006, 11:56

I know there is a lot of interest for this new 747 variant.
Firstly, because the 747 is a 'Classic' one in aviation. It has proven itself to the world.
The A380 still has to do that and there are a lot of aviation enthousiasts wha wants to fly the A380 but I don't know about the 'normal' people.
I believe there is a huge mental threshold for many people before they get aboard this giant and fly with it...

edwin · Post by **edwin** » 11 Apr 2006, 14:13

true boeing predicts 400 orders of A380 maximum....i see why and i agree, i dont think that airbus is going to sell that many, for example its 100 orders short from making a benefit from this model. Nevertheless BA still has to make its demand on what planes to buy, it has reserved for 10 777 but no sign of the A380

Ovostar · Post by **Ovostar** » 11 Apr 2006, 14:19

if Airbus sells 400 a380, it's quite a succes i think...

edwin · Post by **edwin** » 11 Apr 2006, 14:30

it is a success though i dont consider it having a long life production wise maximum 20 years i find...

fleabyte · Post by **fleabyte** » 12 Apr 2006, 16:52

I think the 747-8F will be produced for the next 20 years until the 777 replacement. And probably about 100 produced. There is so much infrastructure in the world for this craft - containers, ground handling equipment, spare parts supply chains.

My bet is the 747-8i will sell about 40 units, some to BA, some to Cathay, China Airlines, Jet, and at the very end of it's life, it will be given away to ANA and JAL as the bulk all economy to hurt the A380.

I think the A380 will have a 30-40 year production life, I mean the A300 has had a 35 year run or so, finishing as a low cost freighter.

The A380-900 will change the economics of this bird, and make it more economically attractive against the 747-8i, and should contribute another 100-200 orders in next 20 years - but at a big investment cost to Airbus.

Andries · Post by **Andries** » 12 Apr 2006, 17:23

Personally, I think the 747-8F will have a good (but slow starting) life. My worries are that the 747-8 Pax-version will have the succes of the 767-400 ... not that good ...

Greetz,

Andries