Air Transport in Africa Outlook - 2024

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Homo Aeroportus
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Air Transport in Africa Outlook - 2024

Post by Homo Aeroportus »

Dakar is again having problems with fuel.
A Notam was issued early today to advise airlines that fuel uptake is not guaranteed.

A1672/23 NOTAMN
Q) GOOO/QFUAU/IV/NBO/A/000/999/1440N01704W005
A) GOBD B) 2312300056 C) 2312302359 EST
E) DUE TO DISRUPTIONS IN THE SUPPLY OF JET A1 FUEL, ALL AIR OPERATORS
OPERATING TO BLAISE DIAGNE INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT AND LEOPOLD SEDAR
SENGHOR AIRPORT ARE REQUIRED TO TAKE NECESSARY PROVISIONS TO CARRY
ENOUGH QUANTITY OF FUEL TO ENSURE AUTONOMY OF THEIR NEXT OPERATIONS
FROM THESE AIRPORTS FOLLOWING ARRIVAL.
CREATED: 30 Dec 2023 01:08:00
SOURCE: GOOOYNYX

SN operates SN201/202 today as a direct flight. A fuel stop seems inevitable for the return.

And of course if you operate out of GOBD/DSS, the name of the game is : no fuel, no flight.
Air Senegal had to cancel 7 flights today.
Seneweb Air-Senegal-Carburant.jpg
H.A.

Homo Aeroportus
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Re: Air Transport in Africa Outlook

Post by Homo Aeroportus »

Play it again, Sam.

GOOOYNYX
(A0009/24 NOTAMN
Q)GOOO/QFUAU/IV/NBO/A/000/999/1440N01704W 005
A)GOBD B)2024-01-03 10:40:00 C)2024-01-04 12:00:00 EST
E)DUE TO DISRUPTIONS IN THE SUPPLY OF JET A1 FUEL, ALL AIR OPERATORS
OPERATING TO BLAISE DIAGNE INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT AND LEOPOLD SEDAR
SENGHOR AIRPORT ARE REQUIRED TO TAKE NECESSARY PROVISIONS TO CARRY
ENOUGH QUANTITY OF FUEL TO ENSURE AUTONOMY OF THEIR NEXT OPERATIONS
FROM THESE AIRPORTS FOLLOWING ARRIVAL.)

H.A.

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Re: Air Transport in Africa Outlook

Post by rwandan-flyer »

And Air Senegal is already struggling due to technical glitch on their A330. They are currently leased aircaft
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Re: Air Transport in Africa Outlook

Post by rwandan-flyer »

Ethiopian Airlines has just obtained slots for a service to Warsaw. The Addis Ababa Warsaw route should be operated via Athens by B787, from July 2024.

Poland is the country in Europe with a small African diaspora as a percentage of its total population. But there are quite a few Africans who have obtained dual nationality (mainly first generations who came to Poland to study under the USSR regime). There are therefore Afro-Polish celebrities (Sportspeople, Journalists, Singers) who are originally from Africa.

https://www-lemonde-fr.translate.goog/a ... r_pto=wapp

There are also quite a few African students in Poland and many Poles go to East Africa, mainly to Tanzania and Kenya. The LOT hub, which is not bad, will enable to Ethiopian planes to be filled. Then Poland is trying to increase with Africa.

The English translation with the link does'nt work

Ethiopian will fly from Warsaw to Addis Ababa

Ethiopian Airlines will fly from Warsaw Chopin Airport to Addis Ababa, Ethiopia. This will be the first regular connection from Poland to this country.

We informed some time ago about Ethiopian Airlines' interest in launching a connection with Warsaw. These plans were confirmed in the report, the Ethiopian carrier received 135 slots for flights to Addis Ababa and, interestingly, 1 slot for flights to Athens. So there is a chance that the connection may be inaugurated soon and these were not just loud announcements. The report also shows that the flights would be operated by Boeing 787 Dreamliners carrying 270 passengers.

The information was confirmed to us by the PPL press office. The first cruises are scheduled to take place in July 2024. The exact frequency of the cruises is not yet known, but we will find out about them in the near future. According to PPL, details of the new connection will soon be available in the airline's booking system.

https://www.pasazer.com/news/464762/eth ... abeby.html

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Qatar Airways is expected to launch a daily flight to Antananarivo from Doha from October 2024.

https://madagascar--tribune-com.transla ... r_pto=wapp
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Re: Air Transport in Africa Outlook - 2024

Post by luchtzak »

Let's make this a yearly topic!

Air Transport in Africa Outlook - 2019-2023

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Re: Air Transport in Africa Outlook - 2024

Post by rwandan-flyer »

An interesting podcast about African Aviation (I already talked about it). But this number seems particularly interesting. On one side we have South African companies which are taking advantage of the decline of South African Airways to continue to grow in Southern Africa.

Qatar Airways which is shaking up its program in Southern Africa a little. Durban will be served tagged via Maputo while the line to Luanda will increase to....1 flight per week!!

Ethiopian Airlines still growing very strongly, even if Nairobi is a victim of traffic agreements between Ethiopia and Kenya. ET still cannot add its 3rd daily frequency.

Our friends are not optimistic about Air Cote d'Ivoire's expansion project.

The big news is the possible arrival of China Southern in Ghana (for the moment it's a rumor stage).

A part of the podcast is an interview of the Kenya Airways network manager. The airline appears to be back on the path to growth. New York will increase from 7 to 9 flights per week this summer!! https://aviadevinsight.libsyn.com/277-t ... consultant

Welcome to the fifth edition of AviaDev Insight Africa’s Connectivity update, a podcast that offers insights into new route developments in Africa.

Hosted by Jon Howell, CEO and Founder of AviaDev Africa, this podcast covers new route developments and expansions in the aviation industry on the African continent.
In this episode, we discuss:

Ethiopian Airlines' Summer 24 schedule, which includes new destinations and increased frequencies. They also highlight the airline's focus on connecting Africa to the world, discussing Ethiopian Airlines' expansion plans, including the addition of Warsaw as a potential new destination.

FlySafair's new route from Cape Town to Kruger Mpumalanga

Cemair becomes the latest airline to serve the growing Johannesburg-Harare route

Airlink's new routes, including Bloomfontein-Durban and continued growth in Malawi

Qatar Airways changes to their Southern Africa schedule

Air Tanzania's new route to Dubai

Rumour Mill:

Air Cote d'Ivoire's fleet and expansion plans

Emirates' potential return to Nigeria

Air Peace's potential route to London

China Southern's possible flight to Accra.

Connect with Sean here

Connect with Behramjee here

Finally, if you enjoyed this episode, please share it with someone that you feel would benefit from listening and subscribe to never miss another episode
Some highlights text from Sean Mendis

* Flights to Mogadishu start from 15FEB24, marking KQ's return to Somalia - how quickly can this route grow from 3x weekly to twice daily?

* KQ will return to Maputo in June, a world exclusive announcement of the new route!

* Two more routes coming by the end of the year - one domestic and one in Southern Africa.

* Paris increases to 9x weekly due to the Olympics, but Schiphol drops to 5x weekly due to slots.

* HiFly Airbus 330 wetlease will continue through the summer, providing key extra capacity to Dubai and Johannesburg.

* The new Kenya visa policy cost them 6-8% of traffic from South Africa in January but that is recovering now that the system is being tweaked.

* Any plans for a mini-hub/focus city at Mombasa are shelved with flyDubai's entry into the market.

* The New York JFK route is now operationally profitable, thanks mainly to the Delta codeshare. The route becomes a daily flight this summer.

* The integration of the new Asante Miles program into SkyTeam is moving slowly but steadily. Priorities are AF/KLM (already done), Delta and Virgin Atlantic.

Listen to the full thing here for all the other information : https://bit.ly/48vFDkJ
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Re: Air Transport in Africa Outlook - 2024

Post by rwandan-flyer »

Once again Africa is on Air Asia X radar (after a first attempt in Mauritius )

Cairo, Mahe, Nairobi and Cape Town

https://newsroom.aviator.aero/airasia-r ... hip-visit/

Over 14 years ago Air Asia X was already looking to serve Africa https://www.reuters.com/article/airasia ... 220090819/
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Re: Air Transport in Africa Outlook - 2024

Post by rwandan-flyer »

In 2024, Passengers Traffic in Africa should reach 242 million passengers in 2024 (106% of 2019 :shock: ). But how many pax for Africans Airlines ?

ACI World Forecasts Passenger Traffic in Africa to Reach 261 Million in 2025

https://aviationbusinessjournal.aero/he ... n-in-2025/
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Re: Air Transport in Africa Outlook - 2024

Post by rwandan-flyer »

Ethiopian orders 8 B777x (alongside of its B777x F order). This is version 777-9. With the A350-1000 order, it is clear that the airline will replace its fleet of B777s (200LR and 300ER)

https://bnnbreaking.com/transportation/ ... -in-africa
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Re: Air Transport in Africa Outlook - 2024

Post by sn26567 »

rwandan-flyer wrote: 05 Mar 2024, 17:22 Ethiopian orders 8 B777x (alongside of its B777x F order). This is version 777-9. With the A350-1000 order, it is clear that the airline will replace its fleet of B777s (200LR and 300ER)

https://bnnbreaking.com/transportation/ ... -in-africa
It was also mentioned on this very website ;)

https://www.aviation24.be/airlines/ethi ... 777x-jets/
André
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Re: Air Transport in Africa Outlook - 2024

Post by rwandan-flyer »

According Times Aerospace (often they have godd sources about African, South Asia and Middle East Aviation), Air Mauritius plans to resume Brussels service

Air Mauritius reconquering its markets


Air Mauritius is capitalising on both regional and international growth in air traffic to strengthen its market share to and from the Indian Ocean island State

[....]

Air Mauritius has strengthened its London presence by increasing weekly frequencies from three to five, moving to London Gatwick to cut costs, while also resuming direct flights to Geneva. It is also looking at resuming flights to Munich, Milan, Rome and Brussels.


https://www.timesaerospace.aero/feature ... ts-markets
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Re: Air Transport in Africa Outlook - 2024

Post by Homo Aeroportus »

Per African Airlines Aviation Weekly Digest, Air Peace is to launch a new route between Lagos and London Gatwick, using a Boeing 787-9 wet leased from Norse Atlantic Airway.
The Nigerian carrier recently secured traffic rights and slots for the new London Gatwick route, which will join Air Peace’s network on March 30, marking its first European destination.

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Re: Air Transport in Africa Outlook - 2024

Post by rwandan-flyer »

Welcome to the sixth edition of AviaDev Insight Africa’s Connectivity update, the podcast offering insight into the new route developments in Africa, hosted by Jon Howell, CEO and Founder of AviaDev Africa.

Text from Sean Mendis
B747-437B wrote:This month, join Jon Howell, Tatenda Karuwa of Simple Flying, and myself for the monthly AviaDev Africa Insight podcast about route developments in African aviation.

Our topics this month include :

* Given Air Peace Limited's history of screwing up international routes, will London Gatwick be the exception or are they already looking for excuses?

* fastjet adds frequencies between Vic Falls and Kruger - are they reinventing themselves fast enough to handle competition in the SA-Zim market?

* ECOWAS lifts sanctions on Niger and ASKY AIRLINES rushes in with big plans - why is this small market so important?

* RwandAir Ltd pulls out of the Mumbai route - what has changed since they launched the route in 2017 and why does suspending it make sense now?

* Ethiopian Airlines surprises everyone with an order for up to 20 Boeing 777-9X aircraft out of the blue. We speculate on why this order may have been announced right now.

* Will Emirates be returning to Nigeria? Our monthly one-liner may actually have a different response this month!

All this and much much more - available on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, YouTube or at the link below.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zq-B5lXHZQ0
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Re: Air Transport in Africa Outlook - 2024

Post by rwandan-flyer »

AFRAA (African Airlines Association) has released its annual report (with 2022 and 2021 stats...)

Some additional information

RwandAir no longer appears since 2022 although it is a member of AFRAA for 2022: 1,037,025 passengers transported (https://www.minecofin.gov.rw/index.php? ... 62d9c3fa79, p14)

Same thing for Tunisair ((2,171,341 passengers carried in 2022 https://www-tustex-com.translate.goog/b ... r_pto=wapp)

For 2023, Cairo is now firmly established as Africa's busiest airport, with 26 million passengers. It will become the first African airport to exceed 30 million passengers. Johannesburg was far behind due to the troubles of South African Airways https://www.egypt-air-show.com/news/pas ... ports-2023

https://www.afraa.org/annual-reports/

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Re: Air Transport in Africa Outlook - 2024

Post by rwandan-flyer »

Kenya Airways posts first annual operating profit for seven years

Kenya Airways posted its first operating profit for seven years in 2023 off the back of a recovering passenger business, although a heavy currency exchange impact kept it loss-making at a net level.

The Kenyan flag carrier posted an operating profit of KSh10.5 billion ($78.8 million) for the year ended December 2023, against a loss of KSh5.6 billion in 2022 and marks the SkyTeam carrier’s first surplus since posting an operating profit of KSh1.5 billion in 2017.

https://www.flightglobal.com/airlines/k ... 27.article
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Re: Air Transport in Africa Outlook - 2024

Post by rwandan-flyer »

Uganda Airlines will take delivery of an A320Neo next month, under a wet lease agreement.

Harare, Guangzhou, Jeddah and Riyadh still in project

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=j4JtVZt ... sionUganda
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Re: Air Transport in Africa Outlook - 2024

Post by rwandan-flyer »

Qatar Airways announces the launch of flights to Kinshasa, Democratic Republic of Congo

Qatar Airways announces the latest expansion of its network to include Kinshasa, Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC), enabling greater frequencies and increased capacity to Luanda, Angola. https://www.aviation24.be/airlines/qata ... -of-congo/
Some reactions are surreal. Some Congolese are on the verge of boycotting Qatar Airways. Qatar Airways, which has not yet acquired the 49% stake in RwandAir, would be a Trojan horse to allow RwandAir to return to the DRC :roll:

I put Twitter link (translation is not possible, but if you have acces you can make copy and paste of text to google translator) https://twitter.com/search?q=rwandair&s ... ery&f=live


I explain the context, because it helps us understand these reactions.

Before the genocide against the Tutsi, Rwanda and Zaire had good relations. Following the arrival of the FPR to power, Rwanda provided support to Lurent Dseiré Kabila to overthrow Mobutu. In exchange, Rwanda thought that the DRC was going to fight against the genocidal militias taking refuge in the DRC who were making incursions into Rwanda. This was not the case, Rwanda has launched its army which triggered the conflict which still continues in the East of the DRC (even if officially the Rwandan army would no longer be in the DRC) or other militias and sometimes other states are involved. You have also the ethnic groups problems in the background which are in the region since independence.

Some Congoelese are be careful for everything coming from Rwanda which can sometimes be justified but which sometimes goes beyond the limits (acts of violence). In this context, huge rumors are spread and the air sector is no exception. Some had spread rumors concerning ghosts RwandAir flights to Kinhsasa, while RwandAir had suspended its flights to FIH (the planes were landing in Brazzaville). Or others about the closure of airspace for RwandAir. A hard choice for DR Congo beacause if Rwanda does the same thing for Congolese aircraft it would force Congolese airlines to review procedures in Goma, because the planes are flying over Rwandan airspace during take off and landing

The strongest rumor was that about a RwandAir hub in Goma. Someone had shared an ad from RwandAir where we saw offers for passengers traveling from Goma via Kigali with RwandAir and some believed that RwandAir will launch a hub at Goma (No, RwandAir has not moved its hub to Goma https://congocheck-net.translate.goog/n ... _pto=wapp/).

So obviously, I doubt that what we see on social networks reflects what happens in real life, but it shows that some people have a slightly misplaced mind. Although I have been doing fact checking for almost 15 years for a French site, I am always surprised to see how gullible people can be, even if some (Congolese) sometimes try to tell others to stop broadcasting some false information ( it doesn't help us in our fight)

Anyway, I wish all the success for Qatar Airways in Kinshasa.
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Re: Air Transport in Africa Outlook - 2024

Post by rwandan-flyer »

Kenya Airways to suspend Kinshasa flights over detained employees

https://www.aol.com/kenya-airways-suspe ... biztoc.com
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Re: Air Transport in Africa Outlook - 2024

Post by rwandan-flyer »

A nice document from The French Treasury about the future of aviation in East Africa and Indian Ocean pusblished in March 2023. Only in French (sorry). A nice document with some data (before, during and after covid) https://www.tresor.economie.gouv.fr/Art ... d342240be6

Here are some parts


The most dynamic region of the sub-Saharan continent in terms of air traffic, the AEOI represented, in 2019, 38% of passenger traffic and 80% of the continent's freight volume. Air flows currently remain concentrated around the two main regional airport hubs: Bole Airport in Addis Ababa and Jomo Kenyatta in Nairobi. The development of the airport sector, due to its strong integration with the tourism sector, is considered strategic for many countries in the region which wish to position themselves as new passenger or logistics hubs (Rwanda, Djibouti). If new projects, sometimes very large-scale, are envisaged, some face financing difficulties, in a context of gradual withdrawal of donors from the sector. France remains an important partner, through the provision of financing and the presence of its companies, active in diversified segments (engineering, equipment supplies, airport services).

Burundi

A landlocked and small country, Burundi depends entirely on Bujumbura airport for its international air connectivity. Given the state of existing airport infrastructure, the needs of rehabilitation and extension are important. Projects exist but their implementation is structurally limited by the lack of possible external financing in the country.

Kenya

The increase in passenger and freight traffic over the past two decades has led to significant investments in airport infrastructure, supported by the Kenyan government's desire to make of Kenya and Nairobi International Airport in particular a passenger and cargo air transport hub. These ambitious objectives, justified by the desire to open up and revitalize certain regions of Kenya, have also leads to the construction of oversized infrastructure that remains underutilized. The French offer in the airport sector is particularly diversified, ranging from participation in design and construction works rehabilitation undertaken at Nairobi and Mombasa airports to airport services.

Uganda

If considered strategic for the development of the Ugandan economy, infrastructure airports of the country are paradoxically insufficiently developed, with regard to the needs and objectives growth sectors. The country has 46 airport facilities, including Entebbe International Airport, its only international airport and 13 regional airports that are not very dynamic and unsuitable. The authorities are carrying out a proactive policy in favor of strengthening infrastructure, by developing structuring projects, projects that could offer opportunities for French companies.

Rwanda

In 2019, Rwanda is the 5th country in terms of passenger traffic in the East Africa-Indian Ocean region. after Ethiopia, Kenya, Uganda and Mauritius. With 1.56 million passengers in 2019, Rwanda reached approximately two-thirds of the capacity of its current Kigali International Airport. The airport project Bugesera International Airport with an initial capacity of 8 million then 14 million passengers per year in a second phase and financed mainly with Qatari funds could allow Rwanda to establish itself as a of the main airport platforms on the continent.


Tanzania


With a portfolio of airports that is gradually modernizing and the revitalization of the airline public Air Tanzania Company Limited (ATCL), civil aviation in Tanzania has experienced growth without precedent over the past five years. As part of the Tanzania Development Vision 2025, the sector aviation has been identified as a pillar of development in Tanzania, largely due to its role essential in the development of tourism. Massive investments in airport infrastructure, associated with renewal of ATCL, have led to significant changes in the sector. The French offer in the sector airport is particularly diversified, ranging from participation in design studies, construction work rehabilitation, the provision of airport services

Djibouti

A small country, Djibouti is entirely dependent on Ambouli airport for its air connectivity. international. The development prospects of the airport sector are constrained, in the segment passenger, by traffic whose progression is capped due to low national demand and isolation of Djibouti in relation to the African hinterland. Djibouti appears to be targeting air freight and sea-air intermodality in order to to establish itself as the region’s first logistics hub


Ethiopia

A landlocked country with a difficult geography, Ethiopia finds, in the airport sector, the way to unite its territory around the Addis Ababa hub while allowing it to position itself strategically on the corridors intra-African and Europe-Asia flows. The growth of the sector, which has become essential to external positioning of the country, is taking place at the pace of the expansion of the national company Ethiopian Airlines, whose interests are, aligned with national airport activity, since the transfer of management of the country's airports to this last in 2017. Investments estimated at USD 5.5 billion over 30 years would be necessary to propel Ethiopia as the main air transport platform in Africa, which raises questions about the financing of such projects despite the financial strength of Ethiopian Airlines.

Somalia

Under United Nations mandate since 1993, management of Somali airspace was transferred to aviation Somali civilian life in 2018. The return of international airlines and the government's desire to reconstitute the national airline constitute weak signals of revival of the air sector, subject today with strong constraints.

Sudan


With the third largest airspace on the continent, Sudan has not succeeded in its airport transformation. So much his passenger and goods traffic is in regular decline – accentuated by the Covid crisis, which had seen its airports closed from mid-March to the end of July 2020. Slowing traffic, a long period of isolation under the Bashir regime, American sanctions, a deterioration of the post-Covid economic situation have not made it possible to finance port infrastructure, in particular the creation of a new airport in Khartoum and the rehabilitation of regional airports, in a country where transport problems are chronic. It's about however, in a sector where the presence of French equipment manufacturers and service providers is historic.

Comoros

The Comoros archipelago is distinguished by a certain isolation due largely to the poor development of its airport sector. The weakness of its infrastructure, the low tourist numbers on the island and the absence of bringing its international airport up to standard are all factors explaining the low number of connections direct air travel. Aware that the development of the sector is essential in achieving the objective of economic emergence, the government plans investments in the sector

Madagascar

The Malagasy airport sector is structured around two main airports (Ivato and Fascène) which have been awarded under concession to a private consortium: Ravinala Airports. Passenger volume, which fell during the health crisis, remains generally weak in comparison to the size and reception potential of the country. Ten more Regional and/or national airports are managed by a private company: Adema. Given the size of the country and the issues of road connectivity, the landscape is also structured around a multitude secondary aerodromes, some of which are managed by private economic actors who operate in the mining, industrial and agri-food sectors and who are the main users.

Mauritius


In an island context, Mauritius airports constitute one of the main levers for development tourism but also an important exchange interface for Mauritian residents with the rest of the world. Thus, each year they welcome more passengers than the country has inhabitants. In a post- health crisis, the preservation of the sector and its development for the years to come are established as major national issues

Seychelles

The Seychelles airport sector is structured around two main airports (Mahé and Praslin) which concentrate the vast majority of international and domestic passenger traffic. Passenger volume, which fell during the health crisis, restarted strongly in 2021 without reaching the pre-crisis level. Ten more aerodromes are managed by the public operator IDC, and three by private operators. IN Groupe and Egis contribute currently in efforts to modernize the sector through digital identification services and updating the modernization plan for Mahé international airport
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